Friday, April 24, 2015

UCL Semi Finals: Battle of European Titans


The Champions League semi finals are a battle of true European heavyweights. Besides the notable absence of any EPL Clubs, all of which failed to even reach the quarter finals, the final 4 are true European Titans.

Between them, the final four have won no fewer than 21 European Cup/UCL titles & have been involved in an amazing 37 finals! Barcelona, Real Madrid & Bayern have been ever present semi finalists in the last few years & Juventus, following a few rough years is back amongst the European elite.

Predicting the results of the two semi finals this year is harder than ever before, despite the fact that Barcelona & Real Madrid will start their respective ties as slight favourites.
There are however some distinct factual observations that can be made about the final four:

Barcelona are undoubtedly currently the most in form team in Europe,
Real have wobbled vs Schalke & Atletico Madrid,
Bayern have deep injury worries to key players, and
Juventus's defence looks rock solid & very hard to breach

Here's the team's overall results so far in this year's competition

1. Barcelona 9W 0D 1L, goals 23-7, 27 points
2. Real Madrid 8W 1D 1L, goals 22-6, 25 points
3. Bayern, 7W 1D 2L, goals 30-8, 22 points
4. Juventus, 6W 2D 2L, goals 13-5, 20 points

Based on how Real Madrid accounted for Atletico Madrid, Real will most probably get the better of Juventus over two legs, and with a more comfortable margin than a mere 1-0

The Barcelona vs Bayern is much harder to predict & very much depends on how fit key Bayern players will be in time for the two encounters. Without Ribery & Robben on the wings & Alaba & Benatia in defense Bayern simply do not have the quality to counter Suarez, Messi, Neymar & co. A fully fit Bayern side on the other hand is more than even chance.

My prediction (assuming Bayern players are fit in time) is Bayern vs Real Madrid

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