FIFA reform needs much more than a simple swap from Sepp Blatter to Gianni Infantino

FIFA has finally got a new President! And not a day too soon as the reign of the master manipulator/storyteller Sepp Blatter finally came to an end as he starts serving his 6 year ban. (Surprisingly, and not hard to believe no jail term or criminal indictment have been forthcoming by Swiss authorities!)

Gianni Infantino was today elected the new FIFA president. 

This followed 18 tumultuous months of jaw dropping revelations of chronic corruption, money laundering, cronyism, outright financial theft by FIFA Executives & vote buying scandals surrounding 2018 & 2022 World Cups in Russia & Qatar (with thanks to many investigative Journalists around the world such as Andrew Jennings)

A corrupt/money laundering scheme that was created by Joao Havelange at the dawn of media/sponsorship money in early 80s (with Sepp Blatter as his dutiful Secretory General of FIFA), was masterfully turned into a very sophisticated bribery/theft/money laundering scheme in exchange for votes under the watchful eyes & (so called) leadership of Sepp Blatter! 

5 star hotels/restaurants/1st class flights/expensive gifts/rubbing shoulders with world leaders & of course prostitutes were also thrown in for good measure in order to keep the chaps (aka FIFA Executives with voting power!) happy, engaged & loyal!

As it is usually the case, finally Blatter succumbed to his own arrogance, grandiose delusion, vanity & complacency by granting 2018 & 2022 World Cups both at once. 

Blatter was at best forced to do this in order to cover himself & his cronies rampant money laundering & theft from FIFA  (from indicted Chuck Blazer to disgraced & exposed Ricardo Teixeira & Jack Warner to name the most well known amongst many executive thieves at FIFA), and at worst was a full accomplice as greed simply got the better of him & his thieving colleagues.

Whilst Infantino has a clear history & does not carry a "heavy FIFA baggage" of his colleagues at FIFA, he still represents "the establishment" at FIFA headquarters & must deliver on the promise of transparency & good governance in his first or resign.

If Gianni Infantino is serious about reforming FIFA:
1) He must open FIFA accounts to investigators for as far back as possible
2) He must fully overhaul FIFA's Corporate Governance
3) FIFA must allow Governments concerned with financial management of their Football
4) FIFA must fully disclose financial terms & details of grant of rights to MEDIA companies.

According to the fully proven investigations by journalists such as Andrew Jennings & others, this appears to have been the biggest source of bribery to FIFA Executives in order to obtain media & broadcast rights to Football Tournaments.
5) FIFA must, within reasonable terms, allow Governments to scrutinise money trails to their Football Federations.

Again, according to the fully proven investigations by journalists such as Andrew Jennings & others, disgraced FIFA Executives, including those mentioned earlier in this post, on a regular basis received FIFA grants to their respective Confederations/Country Federations only to channel the money to their own private business empires instead! In return, they guaranteed voting blocks to re elect Sepp Blatter!

 Sept Blatter's Standard BLOCKING tactic was to suspend any country with the smallest hint of financial enquiry to how money was being handled! Now we all know why Blatter used to use this dirty tactic….to cover theft/corruption/money laundering by FIFA Executives from their respective Parliaments & Governments!

Gianni Infantino owes this to the billions of fans of the beautiful game across the world to clean up FIFA from its money laundering organisation with its mafiose executives, to the gatekeeper which used to have the motto "for the Good of the Game"

If Gianni Infantino does not deal with the rampant corruption, non existent corporate governance & & cronyism in FIFA in a transparent & effective manner, UEFA should pull out of FIFA membership & boycott all FIFA events including the World Cup. This will simply dry up the easy sponsorship money that has brought so much corruption & greed with it & ruined FIFA.

…just remember Infantino…….For the Good of the Game Infantino….for the Good of the Game!….Please!

Is the Sepp Blatter soap opera of delusional narcissism set to continue?

Sepp Blatter has been named many things by fans, media & football officials around the world alike.

Had medical experts been called upon to try to label him, severe delusional narcissistic disorder would  have been the most likely expert terminology or diagnosis!

This would have much more likely been the diagnosis since the news in recent days that "Blatter believes he has not resigned & is considering nominating for re-election!!"

However, knowing Blatter the way he has stayed at the helm by throwing money at & tolerating full blown corruption in poorer FIFA member countries in exchange for votes, his apparent sudden change of tune, whilst not surprising at all, must only mean one & one thing only:

When Sepp Blatter reluctantly announced his resignation a mere five days after getting reelected by his cronies, he must have been advised that the FBI & Swiss investigations were likely to incriminate him in corruption allegations & as such his position was untenable.

But lets not beat around the bush: Blatter is a slippery fox & the fact that he is attempting yet another one of his political flip flops & suggesting a come back, albeit much more mundanely this time, must mean only one thing & one thing only:

The psychopathic narcissist must have been advised that the likelihood of any corruption charges against him personally are minimal. 

It is crystal clear that Blatter believes he has nothing to answer for. In all probability Blatter himself has never received any corrupt payments. Therefore he believes 17 years of tolerating official corruption under his watch was ok & in fact necessary to advance the greater good of the game. He believes he has enhanced the worldwide reach of football despite all the various allegations of corruption.

Meanwhile even the Catholic Church officials must be watching the slippery master with envy!

Germany vs Argentina: FIFA World Cup Final will be watched by an estimated 1 billion fans

Brazil 2014, arguably the most exciting World Cup in recent times, has reached its final stage.

Football, the beautiful game, the World Game, has its problems, players cheat to get penalties, the FIFA has corruption allegations hanging over its head & some games were tedious, tight  & defensive during the knockout stage, and then there is the highly emotionally charged & yet unsatisfactory penalty shoot out lottery............

Despite all of that, the Beautiful Game unarguably continues to maintain its at times hard to understand universal MAGICAL attraction. The worldwide appeal of football is simply unmatched by any other sport, team or individual.

Football is played, loved or followed regularly by an estimated 4-5 billion people around the world. It generates revenues unimagined or unheard of in most other sports, and even beats the Olympics in the cumulative TV audience as the most successful single event in the world.

........so when two nations play the WC Final, as Argentina vs Germany will do tomorrow morning at 5am EST, an estimated ONE BILLION people around the world will be watching and another few hundred million will watch the replay and/or highlights later on!

The sponsorship money is staggering & the total revenue generated from the tournament will be in excess of $2bUS.
FIFA will pay each of the Football Federations of the unsuccessful teams in the group stage will each receive $9mUS each & the winning finalist's Federation will receive $37m....despite corruptions & disputes, most of this money goes to players & grassroots development of the game amongst mostly disadvantaged kids in many poor areas of towns & cities around the world........so FIFA World Cup as a phenomenon has a global effect like no other....in its reach, in its cultural diversity & in its positive unifying influence.

The beautiful game thrives as the World Cup 2014 starts despite Sepp Blatter & FIFA's cover up of rampant corruption

Sepp Blatter is not listening. In fact he doesn't even care! Despite reassuring the world over in 2010 that he would not stand for FIFA Presidency in 2014, he has just announced he's standing for another term.

FIFA & Blater are tarnished by allowing system corruption by the likes of Bin Hamman & Jack Warner. Blatter's position is untenable. Yet, he is teflon like. Whilst there's no evidence or suggestion that Blatter himself has ever accepted any bribes, the fact that corruption has been systematic under his watchful eyes does not seem to bother him the slightest bit!

Last Week Tonight's John Oliver summed up the situation the best (copy the link & watch the hilarious post on YouTube:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DlJEt2KU33I

However, the beautiful game will have its showpiece, The FIFA World Cup, at its spiritual Brazil from tomorrow........and an accumulated worldwide audience of close to 30 billion, will make it the most watched event in the world's history, and pour close to $3 billion to FIFA's coffers.

Brazil 2014 FIFA World Cup draw, the winners & the losers

The FIFA World Cup draw for Brazil 2014 was conducted on Friday night & as usual, some groups ended up being more difficult than others. This year however, South America have 6 representatives (instead of 5) & Europe have 13 instead of the usual 14.

Also, Belgium, Colombia & Switzerland were seeded due to their superior FIFA rankings in Nov 2013 & as a result powerhouses of England, Italy, Holland, Portugal were demoted to the 2nd pot.

It is too early to try to predict which teams will be successful in the first round simply because teams' forms can dip or improve between now & June next year and key players may get injured & miss out.

However, whilst playing at the World Cup is difficult regardless of the draw, there are groups which are more difficult to prove than others: Here are my early tips until I decide on my final tips by around March 2014:

Group A Hosts Brazil are the clear favourites following their mesmerising triumph at Confederation Cup. On the other hand, Mexico have had a torrid time with 4 different coaches & only qualified through the play offs by beating New Zealand. Croatia are always difficult to beat & possess enough talent to overcome Cameroon & finish second.

Group B is the first group of death & sees the two finalists of WC 2010 ie Holland & Spain paired against each other. You can't help but to feel sorry for Chile for being paired with Spain for the second WC in a row, and for the Socceroos who will no doubt have a torrid time against all of their 3 vastly superior opponents. However, Chile are a brilliant team & with a bit of luck are capable of knocking out either of their two most illustrious opponents.

Group C see hosts Columbia as a well deserved seed. Columbia are once again spoilt with talent & should win the group. Greece are on the other hand becoming an experienced tournament nation & are slight favourites to outdo Japan & Ivory Coast.

Group D, at least on paper, is THE group of death. However, reputations aside, I believe Uruguay & Italy are clearly far stronger sides than an England side which is desperately short of creative talent in the midfield & lacks depth in many positions including in defence. Costa Rica can & probably will pinch crucial points too.

Group E sees Switzerland seeded & France as the main giant in the group. If Ribery & co play the way they played against Ukraine in the 2nd leg of the play offs, they will be the clear favourites to win the group. Switzerland coach has on the other hand built a team which is extremely difficult to beat although Switzerland have in the past got eliminated unbeaten!

Group F will see Argentina as comfortable winners. Bosnia, Nigeria & even Iran, are all capable of finishing second if they take their chances & other results go their way.

Group G is a tough group for Portugal & Germany & there are no easy matches in this group. Ghana only lost to Germany 1-0 in the group stage in WC 2010 & finished 2nd, and USA in fact topped their group in WC 2010. On top of that, USA is coached by the former Germany Captain & coach Jurgen Klinsman & the USA team consisted of several German born players who play their football in the German Bundesliga. However, at least on paper, a talented Germany side & Portugal by the irreplaceable Ronaldo are favourites to go through.

Group H see the seeded Belgium side oozing with young talent. Whilst I believe Capello's Russian side are overrated, in South Korea & Algeria, they have two of the weakest teams in the tournament & both Russia & Belgium will easily qualify for the knockout round.

FIFA Executive & Sepp Blatter must become transparent or risk destroying the international game!

Let's not beat around the bush!

It has been well known for more than 25 years (& sadly tolerated) that many (but certainly not all) of the FIFA Executive Committee members who amongst other matters, decide the allocation of the hosting rights for the FIFA World Cup (including 2018 & 2022) are corrupt!
From the notorious Jack Warner (on the right above next to FIFA President Sepp Blatter) to the three African & South American Executive members exposed by the credible BBC Panorama investigative program in the photo below, and probably some of the others who have escaped being exposed.

FIFA executives Ricardo Teixeira (l), Issa Hayatou and Nicolas Leoz (r) have been exposed & accused of receiving around $US100 million in bribes!

But what is even more tragic is the fact that Sepp Blatter & the rest of the Executive Committee members such as the much respected former players such as Franz Beckenbauer & UEFA President Michel Platini continue to remain opaquely quiet about the now well known corrupt aspects of FIFA operations.

As if the wining & dining & jet setting life styles of FIFA Executive Committee members is not a clear proof of why the "FIFA Brotherhood" sticks together, nobody even knows how much these people including Sepp Blatter get paid for being FIFA Executives! Except that high 6-7 figure sums are most probably correct!

All that is known is that FIFA earned broadcasting and commercial revenues of around $3.4 billion in its four year financial cycle leading up to the tournament in South Africa. FIFA's profits are scheduled to be announced in March when its annual financial report is published.

These greedy characters ed by Blatter have got so comfortable in their cushy corrupt roles that the good of the game does not even make it to their Executive Committee discussions!

Therefore, we have a money tainted & ultimately corrupt situation where for example:

• Video refereeing & most other forms of technology are dismissed out of hand (Is it for the fear of being filmed whilst receiving bribes one should ask!!!)


• As a result of lack of technological assistance, a "preferred" team like France is allowed to shamefully cheat its way to qualification for the 2010 World Cup at the expense of a weaker footballing nation (Ireland)


• Highly overpaid players are allowed to continue to taint the "beautiful game" with their shameful Hollywood style cheating

But worst of all, the money has resulted in allocation of 2022 World Cup hosting rights to the sparsely populated but rich nation of Qatar where the average summer temperature is 50C & alcohol consumption outdoors & in almost all non luxury public places is banned

FIFA & Blatter claim they are taking the game to places away from the European & South American power base of football & as a result most allegations of corruption, incompetence, cronyism (as portrayed in this humble blog post) etc are simply sore grapes.

But whilst sitting in their 5 star air conditioned hotels sipping vintage champagne, FIFA Executive forget the "Beautiful Game" belongs to the working classes & the poor disadvantaged around the world! Just imagine the following situations:

No reconditioning in 50C heat outdoors in Qatar (most fans traditionally spill into the streets outside pubs singing & drinking before matches start)

In Qatar where no alcoholic drinks are allowed in most public places, fans are expected to cool down in 50C heat on soft drinks (of course not if you are a FIFA Executive in your pleasantly air conditioned 5 star hotel lobby bar where you can freely sip on your fine champagne!)

And even forget about the European style chanting/singing or the African dancing or South American samba! music is not favoured in Qatar (again unless you are listening to the pleasant "Lift Music" at your 5 star lobby bar!)

Meanwhile Club sides who pay the extortionist wages of the stars are forced to send their season tired players to the 50C heat of Qatar & cheerfully have the exhausted dehydrated players back for the start of the winter season in most countries! The past few world cups have witnessed tired & injured players arriving from their heavy sseason long

So, Blatter & co expect the fans & clubs alike not to question anything about transparency of the billion dollar a year FIFA operations, blindly trust FIFA, melt under the 50C heat of Qatar sun whilst drinking water & just wave at the FIFA Executive private jets & limousines carrying FIFA executives inside who are laughing all the way to the bank whilst sipping champagne!

Enough is enough! Thanks but no thanks Blatter & FIFA! Something has to be done & more transparency & better corporate governance must be introduced to the FIFA operations.

And as for Sepp Blatter, it's worthwhile to remember that fish rots from its head! Removing the rotting head early may save the rest of the fish from going fully off!Removing the head early can prevent the rest of the fish going bad!

South Africa should be very proud of hosting a wonderful tournament & Spain are worthy World Champions

Spain have cemented their place as the best as well as most entertaining footballing nation in the world.

They are the new football kings of the world & their team sheet reads like the "who is who" of the football world, a team of champion players playing beautiful football in a champion team

They won a spiteful final match this morning against a Dutch team which played very ugly at times but should nevertheless be commanded for trying to neutralise Spain's attractive & attacking style.

South Africa & her people should also be very proud of staging such a wonderful tournament & largely the sceptics (including myself) wrong.

Other accolades go to New Zealand for its gutsy & impressive effort, & to Germany & Argentina for playing the game in its right spirit & scoring plenty of goals (as opposed to Spain who played beautifully but were unable to capitalise on their superiority most of the time & scored a mere 8 goals, one of the lowest for a World Cup winning side).

Whilst many expected France to disappoint, having only qualified by "the hand of Henry", & considered the defending Champions Italy over the hill & out of sorts, most were surprised by the poor results of England in particular, and Portugal & Brazil to a lesser extent.

And then there was the one & only worldwide superstar of the World Cup,"Paul the Octopus"! He managed to correctly pick all of Germany's 5 wins & 2 defeats plus Spain's win in the final & in the process became a superstar. How I wish he had picked Germany to beat Spain in the semi finals!
As for me personally, this has been a great World Cup despite my beloved Socceroos poor start to the tournament & their subsequent early elimination & my life long idols Germany not reaching the final.

I thoroughly enjoyed all the kind remarks & show of support & encouragement from all of you who were following my blog. A special mention also goes to Deborah Cameron & Jennifer Lacey at ABC 702 Sydney morning show (radio station) for their enthusiasm & support.

To top it all, I even managed to inadvertently get under the skin of a rather cranky Les Murray of SBS TV, who this morning sent me a less than complimentary email belittling me for merely suggesting that despite Spain's attractive way of playing, their multiple 1-0 victories & lack of goals were not a great way to promote the beautiful game to the casual non core supporters! I hope most of you agree with my point.

I must however emphasise that SBS once again provided Australia with a world class presentation & in fact managed to show all 64 games live. We are very lucky in Australia to have such a dedicated team at SBS.

On a final note, as exciting as the annual club competitions such as the Champions League & some of the European and other leagues are, they will never be able to fully replace the World Cup as the premier football (& indeed sporting) event in the world stage. Only European Championships come close & that is because it is similar to a mini world cup!

My blog will recommence at the beginning of the European season in late August. I hope you can join me from time to time!

Viva Espana! Congratulations to Spain & its supporters for playing wonderfully entertaining football on their way to winning the World Cup. They are worthy winners & will be hard to catch in the coming years.

Football maybe a simple game but refereeing it is a complex task in urgent need of a complete overhaul

Harry Kewell's unintentional handball on the goal line would have probably attracted a yellow card had the referee had video footage at his disposal.

I start by expanding on the title of my post again:

FIFA (the football governing body) continue to refuse to acknowledge and address the problems plaguing the beautiful game by stating that football needs to remain a simple game with simple rules. The problem with this simplistic statement ignores the fact that "Refereeing professional football matches has become a very complex task requiring a major overhaul in its current structure"

The inconsistency in refereeing standards are ruining the World Cup in the eyes of the fans, commentators & players alike. This is mainly due FIFA's blanket refusal to provide appropriate and sufficient assistance to referees.

So, the result is nervous referees issuing card after red card in order to stamp their authority, and in the process ruining the spectacle.

The referees are dealing with professional players! Who can blame the players for dishonestly taking full advantage of the absence of any assistance to prove of their unjust actions? It would be like asking professional thieves to leave a forwarding address for blind folded policemen!

Kaka got sent off because of the Oscar winning tumble by an Ivory Coast player rolling on the ground holding his face after Kaka had for simply pushed him back with his elbow

If FIFA is not going to introduce video refereeing, then at the very least the game requires four linesmen covering the entire field of play from all angles. The following are some of the refereeing decisions which may have been overturned on the stop if the referees had access to video refereeing or at least extra linesmen to consult:

• Harry Kewell's unintentional handball on the goal line may have attracted a yellow card instead of red. as a result, Australia struggled with 10 men to hold Ghana to a 1-1 draw & in the process almost certainly got eliminated.
• The USA team's heroic comeback from two goals down was stifled as the referee disallowed a perfectly good 3rd goal depriving USA of a famous win & guaranteed passage to the knockout round
• Brazil's Fabiano handled the ball & scored against Ivory coast without the referee or his assistants noticing he handled the ball intentionally
• In the same match an Ivory Coast player caused Kaka to be red carded by play acting
• New Zealand were potentially robbed from one of the most famous wins in the World Cup history when De Rossi dived & won the reigning Champions Italy a penalty for a 1-1 draw.

Therefore the message to Sep Blatter the FIFA President & his 7 figure salaried Executive Committee is: You are supposed to be serving the fans, & the game. Your job is to act for the good of the game & to provide what your masters (ie FANS) are demanding, not to fill your pockets with your cushy jobs & greedily keep the status quo of the multi billion dollar industry that is football!

World Cup Blog: latest news from South Africa, & why FIFA are responsible for ruining our "Beautiful Game"!

The latest news from South Africa:

1. Rio Ferdinand, the England Captain is out of the world Cup due to a knee injury in training. This will undoubtedly throw Fabio Capello's plans into chaos.
2. Ivory Coast sweating over Drogba's broken wrist in a friendly match. It has not yet been confirmed whether Drogba will miss the World Cup as a result.
3. Worrying losses for the 2006 finalists Italy (1-2 to Mexico) & France (0-1 to China). Although, like many others, I believe the Italian squad is an aging & tactically confused team, and Demenech (& France after qualifying with Henry's cheating handball goal) do not even deserve to be in South Africa
4. Impressive 1-0 win by Australia's Socceroos vs Denmark, although the Socceroos frailties were exposed in the 1-3 defeat in warm up match vs USA tonight, highlighting the current Socceroos limited tactical capabilities.
5. Dominant second half display by the youngest ever German World Cup team in the modern era in their 3-1 win vs Bosnia
6. Dark horses Holland smashed Hungary 6-1 & South Africa had a morale boosting 1-0 victory vs Denmark

My Tip for the World Cup: favourites: Spain & Brazil
Contenders: England, Argentina, Germany & Holland
Dangerous outsiders: Chile, Portugal & Serbia

Now for some basic facts that will once again demonstrate the true worldwide popularity of football:



FIFA the world governing body of football currently has 208 members. This membership level can only be fully appreciated when compared to e.g.

a) United Nations: 196 members
b) Rugby Union Board: around 120 members
c) Rugby League (claimed) to have around 50 members although only 20-25 active members


The major difference between FIFA & its world Cup competition compared other football codes however are:


1) 204 national teams took part in 3 years of qualifications (up to 20 matches) in order to qualify for the 31 available spots (South Africa qualified as Host Nation). On the other hand, n Union & in particular League World Cups, the respective international associations struggle to put together 16 competitive teams in order to hold the tournament.


2) Most amazingly, this year's World Cup will have a cumulative viewing audience of 27 billion over the 64 matches! As a result, there are billions of dollars of sponsorship & commerce money involved.

3) Sadly however, this is the exact reason why FIFA is so stubbornly reluctant to address the few major issues plighting the game! The money has made the administrators of the game too numb & too timid! The slogan "FIFA, For the good of the game" (see above) is at times nothing more than a joke in the eyes of fans worldwide!

FIFA administrators are highly skilled executives on very fat pay cheques & nothing more! They are blinded by the huge commercial appeal of football & nothing else. As a result, like many other businesses, they allow low grade cheating & lying by their stars as long as the commercial side of the game remains intact!

Yes! The play acting, cheating & diving can & must be stopped!
Yes! Technology can & must be utilised in support referees' decisions, to make match outcomes fairer & to stop cheating players influencing refereeing decisions
Yes! More of the money can & must be channeled to grass root & youth levels of the game!
Yes, Star players bulging pay packets can & must be curbed!

The above are possible despite FIFA & its executives. Whilst the administration rules over the 208 membership nations are autocratic, the shear number of members means that that FIFA will eventually have to listen to its members or diminish in stature, influence & power. The risk is that FIFA is sadly damaging the reputation of the game alongside its own whilst it remains disinterested in addressing the major issues affecting the "Beautiful Game".

A wrap of the European Season & the start of my World Cup Blog!

Another exciting European season is over & we are heading to the World Cup in less than two weeks!

As the above photos suggest I made the 18,000 km (36,000km all up) trip to Madrid from Sydney Australia & sadly witnessed my beloved Bayern Munich lose to the tactically superior Inter Milan in the final of the Champions League at the magnificent Santiago Bernabau Stadium.

Now to a review of my pre season predictions:

1. I correctly predicted Bayern, Barcelona & Inter Milan would win their domestic leagues & they all did


2. I also passionately blogged about Perez & his second coming in building a team of "Galacticos"! I predicted (and prayed) that his mega money would not (at least this year) win Real Madrid anything! With Mourinho joining Real, their fortunes might change, but for the sake of the game let's hope not!
   

Here's a link to my post about Perez & his spending spree @ Real Madrid in the pre season:

http://ricksamimi-football.blogspot.com/2009/10/sequal-galacticos-2-has-so-far-fared-no.html

3. Somewhat in a biased but nevertheless informed way, I tipped Bayern Munich as one of the dark horses of the Champions League....and they only came short at the last hurdle :(

4. I initially predicted a Liverpool-Chelsea-Man Utd-man City finish in the EPL, but later on blogged & suggested Ancelotti was going to win the Premiership with Chelsea. However, I totally miscalculated the demise of Liverpool & Tottenham gallantly pipped Manchester City to the post & won the crucial 4th place.

Here's a link to my post on Chelsea:

http://ricksamimi-football.blogspot.com/2009/12/ancelotti-is-proving-his-genius-stroke.html

I also predicted Hull, Burnley & Wolves as relegation candidates in the EPL. Two out of three! Wolves survived the drop, somewhat more comfortably than predicted.

However, my & I imagine many other pundits' most crucial tip was Barcelona winning the champions League. But like Chelsea before them & Bayern in the final, Messi & co found the well organised Inter Milan defence almost impenetrable & lost to Mourinho's side in the semi finals.

Now to the start of my World Cup blog: I will start by quickly look at the usual suspects:

I have already mentioned in one of my earlier posts that Germany will have a very difficult World Cup ahead of them, although Germany should never be underestimated (7 times finalists & 4 times semi finalists). Injuries to Ballack, Adler, Rolfe, Tresch & Loew's stubborn refusal to recall Frings & Kuranyi will make matters even more critical for the team. Nevertheless, as he mentioned himself, Loew & his team can learn from Bayern's achievements this year.

My prediction: Quarter Finals

Amongst the other big teams, England, Italy & Argentina seemingly have easier paths to the second round:

• Italy's team is however too old & Lippi's reliance on many of the fading stars will prove fatal. France on the other hand have lacked clear tactical directions under Domenech & owe their qualification to that dubious handball by Henry.

My prediction: Round of 16s for both team

• England on the other hand have flourished under Capello & as long as they sort out the following three major issues they will go a long way
  

a) Goal keeping issues. James is well past his best & Hart & Green are unproven at any level!

b) How to tactically accommodate both Lampard & Gerrard in midfield

c) Over reliance on injury hit Rooney! He can not emulate Maradonna winning the Cup for Argentina!

My prediction: Semi Final

• Argentina have massive technical ability & with Messi & others at least on paper have one of the top teams in this year's World Cup. However, Maradona is not the right tactical coach for such talented team & most likely will make naive mistakes as he did eg in the 1-6 drubbing by Bolivia in the qualifiers. However, Argentina will probably meet Germany in the QFs & go to the semi finals.

My prediction: semi final or final

• Spain & Brazil are my tip to reach the final. On paper they, alongside Argentina have the best squads in the tournament. On top of that both Spain (in particular) & Brazil (at times) are capable of playing attractive attacking football

My prediction: Spain vs Brazil final, Spain to win

My dark horses for the tournament: As per usual Germany, and yet again Holland. In Sneijder & Robben Holland possess two of the best "match winners" (alongside Messi of Argentina) in the world & if Holland manage to avoid the infighting they are notoriously well known for, they may at last lift the Cup!

I will be posting regular posts on my blog during the World Cup.

Post no 2:FFA vs AFL: FIFA World Cup is a great marketing opportunity. AFL & NRL will risk missing out!

(Please also refer to the previous blog on this topic posted on 11th December)

The FIFA World Cup will be staged in Australia regardless of short sided panic driven attempts by the likes of Andrew Demetriou to derail Australia's bid. BUT Australia's bid will be successful ONLY IF the GODS want it to be. Here are the 4 major players:

1) Major Group 1: FIFA, the not much loved powerful international body (due to its lax treatment of cheating by players on the field) wants Australia to stage the WC because:

a) FIFA is interested in the untapped markets of INDIA/CHINA in particular & the rest of Asia in general (2/3 of the world population & a fast rising living standards)

b) Its rotation policy will mean that Oceania has to be given a chance as a continent to stage the games now that Africa will be doing so in 2010.

2) Major Group 2: Frank Lowy & the Federal Government: Mr Lowy & Kevin Rudd have worked tirelessly to position Australia as the ideal location to achieve a win win situation for all interested parties & we need their tireless lobbying & support to continue for the next few years. Our bid emphasises:

a) Australia's time zone being closer to Asia's making it easier to reach the untapped Asian TV audiences compared to Europe/USA, and hence better potential advertising revenue (and higher TV rights for FIFA)

b) Australia's infrastructure/political stability (NSW Govt aside!) & track record of successful large events management

3) Major Group 3: the Media giants like News Ltd & multinational sponsors of WC: they see the World Cup in Australia as a giant opportunity for marketing & promotion to football mad Asian audiences. (2006 WC in Germany had an approximate cumulative audience of 24 billion). By 2018/2022 Asia's prosperity means millions more TV sets & potentially 100s of millions of more TV viewers per match

What has to happen is of course agreement amongst all of the above, and reasonable compensation to other codes for altering their seasons for the year when it happens.

The "Poofters, Sheilas, Wogs" strategy by "football haters" in Australia to protect their miserable market share is no longer effective because:

a) Many AFL & NRL fans are second generation Europeans/ethnics of "Soccer loving" parents. These fans would welcome & support the bid for FIFA WC Australia
b) Many younger Aussies now attend soccer matches during their travels around Europe & have been exposed to the great atmosphere of competitive football
c) Internet & Pay TV are fast educating sports fans about football and creating new fans and/or making more Australians less negative or neutral towards football!

World Cup qualifier playoffs: Ireland lose to "Hand of FIFA", whilst the "Gus Hiddink" legend is shattered by the minnows of Slovenia

Two major news items made the main football headlines across the world this morning, one full of the astonishing & simple beauty of football, "The people's game", & the other a story of the tarnished image of the stubborn, out of touch, money chasing FIFA acting like a sect trying to protect itself from criticism & investigation, and the perception that its  has sold the "Beautiful Game's soul to sponsorship money.

a. The smallest & wealthiest of the former Yoguslav regions, Slovenia made history by stunning the legendary Gus Hiddink's Russian side & qualifying for the World Cup this morning. In doing so, Slovenia achieved something even more profound, something that stunned the rest of the football world: . It exposed & shattered the legend that was Gus Hiddink!

The "Legend of Gus Hiddink" in no more! The mythical legend "Gus Hiddink"was born when he helped PSV win the European Cup in 1988. He then took Holland to the brink of WC final in 1998 and repeated the same feat with the much lesser footballing nation of South Korea in 2002. He grew even more in stature by taking Australia to the brink of a quarter final birth in WC 2006 in Germany, Russia to the semi final of the European Championships last year, and helping Chelsea back on track by winning the FA Cup final with them whilst missing out on a Champions League birth by a last gasp goal by the magical Inesta.

All the big footballing nations, coaches,clubs & players were in awe of Gus Hiddink & his magic touch, and unable to stop him. The first cracks in the legend appeared when Germany comfortably beat Hiddink's Russia 2-1 in Russia in the first leg, and then again 1-0 last month. But it took the tiny Slovenia this morning to bring joy to true football fans worldwide. They beat Russia & its legendary cooach Gus Hiddink. In the process they demonstrate the intrinsic beauty of the game & its magical moments, and the fact that much love Gus Hiddink is after all human!

b. Whilst the beautiful events above were occuring, the ugly side of the game showed its ugly head & the Republic of Ireland got eliminated, literally in the hands of Thiery Henry, who shamelessly redirected the ball by his hand and created an equaliser for william Gallas & France & its undeserving coach Demenech.

In my view, Ireland lost to the "Hand of FIFA". FIFA is starting to act like an exclusive sect. It fools the fans into accepting what it offers as all that there is, and meanwhile rolls in money & pays its undecisive vote grabbing self serving executives from Sep Blatter down millions of dollars in remuneration & fringe benefits.  FIFA is distinctly creating the perception amongst fans that it is ok for crucial matches to be decided in favour of more profitable sponsorship outcomes.

If the above comments sound too harsh, then FIFA must at start clamping down on all forms of chating on the field by threatening to reverse results and/or order a rematch in order to deter players from acting so shamefully. Thiery Henry is not the first player who acted in an unsporting fashion and won't be the last. Players cheat in all shapes & forms, from diving, to throwing themselves on the ground holding their faces when hit by a feather, to handballing & getting away with it. Just ask Maradona and his "Hand of God" in 1986 against England. Remember the shameful behaviour of AC Milan's Brazilian goalkeeper Dida a few years ago in the Champion League?

Players do this totally shameful acts simply because they know they can get away with deceit because they are confident FIFA will not clamp down or punish them! All FIFA has to do is to order a few matches to be replayed & before too long coaches will come down hard on any player who acts in such shameful manner as the infinte examples of the last 15 years or so suggest.

If FIFA continues to hold the line that all is working in the interest of the game & its broader appeal, and it is not hostage to sponsorship money & its greedy self serving executives, then it must acknowledge the short comings of the current model & the need for  introduction of technology assisted refereeing.

Otherwise, it is only fair to accuse FIFA of selling out the game to generate sponsorship money & favouring teams/players with more sponsorship dollars appeal.